Whale bets $201,500 against Bitcoin dipping to $77,000 on May 11

A trader placed a $201,498 buy order on the 'No' outcome of the market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 11?' at 12:01 AM UTC on May 12, 2026, according to data from Polywhale. The position involved 201,700 shares at an entry price of 100 cents, representing a significant wager that Bitcoin would not fall to the $77,000 threshold on that date.

The trade came in just after the market's designated date had passed, placing the trader on the side that required Bitcoin to have avoided the $77,000 dip during the May 11 window. At 100 cents per share, the position indicates the market was pricing the 'No' outcome at even odds at the time of the trade.

Large positions like this can signal confidence in a particular market outcome, though they do not reliably predict price action. Whale flows are one data point among many when assessing market sentiment on Polymarket.

This trade was executed via contract condition Polymarket whale and can be verified on-chain using transaction hash Polymarket whale.

Data for this report was sourced from Polywhale, a platform that tracks and visualizes whale activity across Polymarket markets. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.